Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 7.365123e-05 0.000089 0.000105 0.000123 0.000144 0.000165 0.000190
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.390863e-05 0.000073 0.000096 0.000123 0.000155 0.000191 0.000234
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.233665e-05 0.000063 0.000088 0.000120 0.000159 0.000204 0.000258
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.568520e-05 0.000058 0.000087 0.000125 0.000172 0.000227 0.000296
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.957899e-05 0.000053 0.000083 0.000125 0.000177 0.000241 0.000321
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.293200e-05 0.000045 0.000077 0.000121 0.000179 0.000250 0.000341
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.922123e-05 0.000041 0.000074 0.000121 0.000184 0.000263 0.000365
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.575001e-05 0.000037 0.000071 0.000121 0.000189 0.000275 0.000389
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.355089e-05 0.000035 0.000070 0.000123 0.000196 0.000290 0.000416
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.086246e-05 0.000031 0.000066 0.000121 0.000199 0.000300 0.000435
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.422360e-06 0.000028 0.000062 0.000118 0.000199 0.000306 0.000450
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.677642e-06 0.000027 0.000063 0.000123 0.000210 0.000326 0.000485
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.550614e-06 0.000023 0.000059 0.000119 0.000210 0.000331 0.000500
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.306585e-06 0.000021 0.000057 0.000119 0.000214 0.000344 0.000525
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.051323e-06 0.000019 0.000053 0.000116 0.000215 0.000351 0.000542
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.621216e-06 0.000018 0.000054 0.000121 0.000226 0.000372 0.000578
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.939048e-06 0.000016 0.000052 0.000120 0.000230 0.000383 0.000601
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.195930e-06 0.000014 0.000048 0.000116 0.000228 0.000387 0.000614
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.431047e-07 0.000013 0.000047 0.000117 0.000233 0.000399 0.000639
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.458391e-07 0.000011 0.000045 0.000116 0.000236 0.000410 0.000661
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.863204e-07 0.000011 0.000045 0.000118 0.000243 0.000425 0.000690
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.025792e-07 0.000009 0.000043 0.000117 0.000245 0.000433 0.000709
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 7.645979e-08 0.000008 0.000040 0.000114 0.000244 0.000437 0.000723